Options As A Strategic Investment Pdf Download

2020. 9. 27. 06:57카테고리 없음



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Let's say I've been researchingsome stocks to potentially invest in, and I feelpretty good at my ability to predict how good acompany's going to do relative to people's expectations, orthe market's expectations. And in particular, I focuson companies A and B. And in the case ofcompany A, I think it's going to do a lot worsethan the market expects it to do. So I'm tempted to short it. And in the case ofcompany B, I think it's going to do much betterthan the market expects. So I'm tempted tobuy it, or go long. But there's one thingabout this process that gets me a littlebit uncomfortable. I have confidence in my abilityto pick out companies that are going tooutperform the market, or are going tounder-perform the market, but I have noconfidence in my ability to predict to the market. So in general-- let me drawa little chart of the market, this is the marketprice, maybe this is the S&P 500 or theNASDAQ-- and I've just found that it's as good asrandom, as opposed to me trying to pick out bottomsof the markets, or tops of the markets,and all the rest. And so my fear is, whathappens if I buy company B, based on my sound research,and then the market goes down? Then company B willprobably still go down. Maybe it won't go downas much as the market, but it will still godown, and I'll lose money. Or what if I short companyA and the market goes up? Maybe company A won't go a won'tgo up as much as the market, but I'll still lose moneyon my short position, which is essentially a bet that thestock is going to go down. So is there somearrangement I can do, some combination ofbuying company B, and selling orshorting company A, that will essentially hedgeout a lot of this market risk? And as you canimagine, there is. And I won't go into all of thestatistics of it, and beta, and you can really try tostatistically hedge out the market risk. But the general ideais, if you really think this is going tooutperform the market, or definitelyoutperform company A, and if you think Agoing to under-perform the market, or definitelyunder-perform relative to company B, you canbuy a similar amount of B as you will short companyA. So in this case, let's just do one share. You can obviously domultiples of this. You buy one, let mewrite it over here. So you buy oneshare of company B, and you sell, or you short,one share of company A. You borrow theshare, you sell it, you'll have to buyit at a future date. So you short, Ishouldn't say one share, you short two shares ofcompany A. And the reason why I'm saying two shares ofcompany A instead of one share, is because A is only $5 pershare, and B is $10 per share. So I want to do roughlythe same amount. And once again, you can dofancier statistics on it to tweak it, so you cansee how much they actually move with themarket, but we're not going to worry aboutthat right here. So for simplicity,what we've done here is we've taken a long position,let me write it over here. We've taken a longposition in B, and we have a $10 longposition, and we've taken a short positionin A, and it is also a $10 short position. Once again, becauseA is $5 per share-- so we took two shares of A-- itmakes the same dollar amount. Now, and maybe I'll savethis for the next video, I want you to think about whathappens if the market moves up or down, but B outperformsA, or A outperforms B.